"A year ago, suddenly everything went over a cliff."
That's how Forbes' publisher,
Rich Karlgaard, described the last 12 month's recession to Dine America attendees last week in Atlanta.
But before you close out of this window and go back to checking your Twitter updates (Hey, it's after lunch. Everybody does it.) because you think you've read all you can handle about the recession, the recovery, and the economy in general ... hear me out.
Karlgaard was straight-forward and honest with the audience of executives. The recession was and still is serious. But it was augmented by the changing administration (when banks were failing last fall Bush was a lame duck and neither Obama nor McCain could take charge) and the inflamitory mainstream press.
To put it bluntly, he called it a "financial blackout."
But it was not and still isn't anything like the Great Depression, Karlgaard insisted. The Great Depression lasted years and saw unemployment numbers far worse than anything the U.S. is experiencing in 2009.
It's ironic that Karlgaard, a business publisher, would point the blame at the media. Yet that's exactly what he did, saying recent reports about thefailing economy and inaccurate comparisons to the Great Depression are "like yelling fire in a crowded theater."
Unlike the Great Depression, the economy is already beginning an upswing and talk of a recovery is on everyone's lips. We've even recently discussed it
here on the blog. Most importantly, what Karlgaard warned quick-serve executives of was what would happen after the recession was over. In a word: inflation.
As the economy begins to recover, which Karlgaard says it will do in pockets across the country before it's widespread, we'll begin to experience inflation. It's the inflation, not the depression, we should be worried about.
Karlgaard seems to believe the recovery is a double-edged sword. Do you agree? What else can business executives expect in the coming months? What can they do to maintain balance within their businesses as the economy rebounds?
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